Forecasters predict a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with 8-14 named storms, 3-6 hurricanes, and 1-3 major hurricanes, compared to the typical 14 named storms. The prediction is based on an expected El Niño, which typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity through increased wind shear, though warm Atlantic waters could still fuel rapid intensification of any storms that form. Officials warn against complacency, emphasizing that even a below-average season can produce devastating storms.
Background
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 each year, with forecasters monitoring various climate patterns like El Niño and ocean temperatures to predict seasonal activity. Climate change is making rapid intensification of hurricanes more common due to warmer ocean temperatures.
- Source
- Ars Technica
- Published
- May 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM
- Score
- 5.0 / 10